Emplois au PNUD - 53760- Consultant for the Development of Econometric Mode

Consultant for the Development of Econometric Model(s) for Developed Energy Efficiency Policies and Regulations

Lieu :

Kuala Lumpur, MALAISIE

Type de contrat :

Individual Contract

Date de commencement :

Date limite de candidature :

28-Feb-15 (Minuit New York, États-Unis)

Niveau du poste :

International Consultant

Durée du contrat initial

12 months

Langues requises :

Anglais

Durée prévue de la mission :

10 month

Le PNUD s’engage à recruter un personnel divers en termes de genre, de nationalité et de culture. Nous encourageons de même les personnes issues des minorités ethniques, des communautés autochtones ou handicapées à postuler. Toutes les candidatures seront traitées dans la plus stricte confidentialité. Le PNUD ne tolère pas l’exploitation et / ou les atteintes sexuelles, ni aucune forme de harcèlement, y compris le harcèlement sexuel, et / ou toutes formes de discrimination. Tous/tes les candidats/tes selectectionnes /ées devront ainsi se soumettre à de rigoureuses vérifications relatives aux références fournies ainsi qu’à leurs antécédents.

Historique

The Building Sector Energy Efficiency Project (BSEEP) has for its goal the reduction in the annual growth rate of GHG emissions from the Malaysia buildings sector. The project objective is the improvement of the energy utilization efficiency in Malaysian buildings, particularly those in the commercial and government sectors, by promoting the energy conserving design of new buildings and by improving the energy utilization efficiency in the operation of existing buildings. The realization of this objective will be facilitated through the removal of barriers to the uptake of building energy efficiency technologies, systems, and practices.

BSEEP has since developed 12 policy papers to build on and strengthen existing policies, action plans, legislation and regulations for promoting and enforcing EE in the building sector. BSEEP is currently seeking to develop suitable econometric model(s) to be used as a tool to access the impact, costs and benefits of the proposed energy efficiency policies. BSEEP is seeking services to help quantify these effects at the sectorial and macroeconomic levels.

The model should be one that is empirical in nature and is designed to make maximum use of the available data from the relevant ministries and agencies in Malaysia. For policy and/or regulation papers produced where data be limited, a basic econometric approach is to be proposed based on a set of assumptions and accounting relationships.

Visit www.jkr.gov.my/bseep for further information.

Devoirs et responsabilités

Scope of work

The primary job scope is to develop an econometric model to assist policy makers in Malaysia to assess the medium and long-term impacts, costs / benefits of BSEEP’s policy and regulatory papers produced. The consultant is also expected to facilitate the coordination work among stakeholders including organizing seminars/workshops/training courses and delivering effective presentations.

Development of an econometric model(s):

Develop an econometric model to predict relationships of at least between the economy, energy system, energy prices, emission and material demand. Factors influencing energy consumption include energy prices, economic development and situation (e.g. GDP), energy consuming household appliances (in the case of electricity consumption), weather conditions, etc should be considered. The model accounts for these factors and delivers estimates of energy consumption. The model shall be able to enable detailed analysis of sectorial and country level effects from a wide range of scenarios. The model(s) must at a minimum be able to estimate actual consumption and based on that model to forecast energy consumption. Social impacts (including unemployment levels and distributional effects) are important model outcomes. Environmental impacts including CO2 levels are also important model outcomes. The preliminary model has to be presented to the relevant stakeholders. Agreement from stakeholders must be obtained prior to finalising the econometric model. The consultant is expected to address the trade-off between estimation outputs that are statistically significant and the preciseness of the forecasts.

There is no restriction on the choice of software use but an open source or free software is preferred. Models have to be relatively simple to be of use in the daily practice of the policy maker for policy evaluation and further development of policies.

The expected outputs at a minimum are:

GDP and the aggregate components of GDP (household expenditure, investment, government expenditure);
Sectorial output and GVA, prices, trade and competitiveness effects;
Consumer prices and expenditures;
Sectorial employment and unemployment;
Energy demand by fuel, energy prices;
CO2 emissions calculation (methodology to be agreed with BSEEP) by sector and by fuel material demands.

Training and use of econometric model(s): This entails the coordination, design, preparation and delivery of training to stakeholders who will potentially enforce and implement the proposed policies and/or regulations. An evaluation report shall be produced of these trainings.

A copy of the developed policy papers can be downloaded from:
https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/40344193/BSEEP-EE_policy_for_bldgs.pdf.

Methodology

The consultant will report to the National Project Manager and will work closely with the BSEEP project team based at the Environment and Energy division of the Public Works Department, Kuala Lumpur. The consultant is expected to participate in the initial meetins with the key policy makers in the government agencies. Meetings with any of the government agencies will be guided by the BSEEP team as and when necessary. It is important for the consultant to obtain agreement from the BSEEP team for the use of the econometric models to be used.

Expected outpouts

The consultant is expected to produce:

Twelve (12) econometric models (based on the 12 policy papers which the project has developed as stated in the above link. It is to be noted that details and approach on utilizing the model has to be agreed with BSEEP prior to the analysis;
An agregated report to describe the econometric model produced, summary of the final analysis of the proposed policies and regulatory papers;
Completion of at three (3) seminars/workshops/trainings on the use of the econometric model. A report on the feedback from participants shall also be produced.

Deliverables and timeline

The consultant will be responsible for the delivery, content, technical quality and accuracy of the reports, econometric model(s) and training materials. All deliverables shall be submitted to UNDP Malaysia and BSEEP Project Management Unit at Environment and Energy division of the Public Works Department

Documents to be included when submitting the proposal

Interested individuals must submit the following documents/information to demonstrate their qualifications:

Proposal on how your qualifications and experience can lead towards the successful deliverable of this assignment within the required timeframe, and provide a brief methodology on how you will approach and conduct the assignment;
Financial Proposal as provided. Alternatives are allowed; For Financial proposal template, it is available at http://www.my.undp.org/content/dam/malaysia/docs/Procurement/MyIC_2015_003%20Annex%20I-II.doc
Personal CV including areas of expertise and past experience in similar projects and at least three (3) references in the format of UN Personal History Form (P11 form). The UN Personal History Form (P11) is available at:http://www.my.undp.org/content/dam/malaysia/docs/Procurement/P11%20for%20SC%20&%20IC.doc

Note:

Please scan, save and upload all documents (proposals and P11 Form) into one PDF file. (The system does not allow more than 1 attachment);
For clarification question, please email to procurement.my@undp.org. The reference number is MyIC_2015_003.

Compétences

Functional Competencies:

Knowledgeable in energy efficiency, sustainable energy;
Demonstrates strong analytical skills;
Consistently approaches work with energy and a positive, constructive attitude.

Development and Operational Effectiveness

Ability to apply peer reviewer guideline production procedures;
Ability to analyze technical requirements in energy efficiency and energy management applications;
Strong analytical skills.

Management and Leadership

Focuses on impact and result for the client and responds positively to feedback;
Supports teams effectively and shows conflict resolution skills;
Consistently approaches work with energy and a positive, constructive attitude;
Demonstrates strong oral and written communication skills;
Builds strong relationships with clients and external actors;
Remains calm, in control and good humored even under pressure;
Demonstrates openness to change and ability to manage complexities.

Qualifications et expériences requises

The consultant should have the following expertise and experience:

Education Requirement:

Bachelor’s degree or equivalent in any related field. Master’s degree will have added advantage.

Professional Experience:

At least 8 years of relevant professional experience in economics and modelling
International experience will have an added advantage
Experience with energy efficiency econometric models will have an advantage
Knowledgeable in energy policies, regulation and energy management procedures in Malaysia will be added advantage
Experience in drawing up materials and implementing training workshops, awareness training and seminars

Note:

It is to be noted that the named consultant(s) involved in the development of the policy papers for BSEEP (shared in the above download link) are not eligible for this consultancy.

Language Requirement

Proficient in English;
Proficiency in Bahasa Malaysia will be an added advantage.