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National Consultant to Macroeconomic policy advisor & Macroeconomic Modelling Expert
|Location :||Putrajaya, MALAYSIA|
|Application Deadline :||23-Dec-20 (Midnight New York, USA)|
|Type of Contract :||Individual Contract|
|Post Level :||National Consultant|
|Languages Required :||English|
|Duration of Initial Contract :||2.5 months|
|Expected Duration of Assignment :||December 2020- March 2021|
UNDP is committed to achieving workforce diversity in terms of gender, nationality and culture. Individuals from minority groups, indigenous groups and persons with disabilities are equally encouraged to apply. All applications will be treated with the strictest confidence.
UNDP does not tolerate sexual exploitation and abuse, any kind of harassment, including sexual harassment, and discrimination. All selected candidates will, therefore, undergo rigorous reference and background checks.
The UN Country Team in Malaysia comprises 19 (10 resident and 9 non-resident) agencies, led by the UN Resident Coordinators Office (RCO), which has been strengthened and enhanced under recent UN reforms. These reforms included the separation of the RC from the UNDP Resident Representative (RR) function, and established a standing RCO team, incorporating key competencies including strategic planning for the UN development system, monitoring and evaluation (M&E), communications and advocacy, partnerships, human rights, and economics. The RCO also covers Singapore and Brunei Darussalam, allowing for sub-regional approaches, and operates within the Asia Pacific division of the UN Development Coordination Office (DCO).
Malaysia, an upper middle-income country (UMIC), which is also approaching high income status, represents an atypical, and challenging operating context for the UN development system to discharge its core mission of promoting inclusive and sustainable development with a clear value proposition. The UN system has therefore focused agency inputs on high level technical advice (TA) and policy advice, and the Resident Coordinator (RC) is keen to consolidate this approach, by delivering greater synergies and creating entry points for engagement at the strategic level. The COVID-19 crisis has provided further impetus for this, heightening government interest in the UN’s technical support.
In addition to the ongoing health emergency, the socioeconomic policy response has emerged as a priority, and the UN Country Team (UNCT) has published a Socioeconomic Response Plan (SERP) as a counterpart to national stimulus and recovery proposals. It is vital these efforts, and Government responses are framed by sound evidence-based analysis, including tools to gauge the impact of the crisis on the economy, in terms of output and employment, but also the differential impact on vulnerable groups. Although Government has a strong handle on the overall impact of the crisis, more disaggregated modeling tools and analyses would prove highly beneficial in designing and implementing policies, to deliver an inclusive recovery. This assignment aims to enable this by reviewing using existing tools and data, notably Malaysia’s Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) [See:www.dosm.gov.my/v1/uploads/files/7_Publication/Technical_Paper/Paper_APES/2018/1.%20Social%20Accounting%20Matrix%20The%20Compilation%20and%20Construction%20of%20Malaysia%20Framework.pdf], and developing general equilibrium (GE) analytics, and then applying these to provide a full socioeconomic scenario for 2021.
Duties and Responsibilities
Functions / Key Results Expected
Purpose: This assignment specifies works connected with setting up and applying standard GE methods (models of varying complexity) to analyze the socioeconomic impacts of the COVID-19 crisis in Malaysia in 2021. This includes: proposing a viable GE approach for vouching and simulating the recovery in 2021; simulating key metrics (output growth and employment levels) along with distributional impacts (poverty levels, gendered effects) based on a given set of parameters (agreed with UNRCO); and setting out differential impacts on key household types and groups (categories, again to be agreed with UNRCO).
We envisage the use of two consultants, a primary national expert, with a high-level policy focus, paired with and supported by an international macroeconomic modelling expert. We note that the national IC would manage the project, leading all local research and interactions, and drawing in the international expert to support the technical modelling and analytical work. Functions are somewhat separated below (showing lead party at each stage); as are the skills and experience requirements (following section).
Separate recruitment processes will be run, and we envisage an assignment of some 60 days (the equivalent of 3 working months), divided equally between the two parties. This is, however, subject to revision following the initial scoping stage (see below).
Summary of key functions [lead IC specified in square brackets]:
1. Scoping review of current data and analytical tools available, and propose a viable and improved GE approach
2. Undertake several simulations for divergent scenarios, and policy responses (to be agreed with UNRCO and Government).
3. Prepare a report and present findings to UN and Government partners, including policy observations and recommendations. Noting that these will later be re-shaped to support capacity building (a likely follow on assignment).
Deliverables & Reporting Arrangements
Deliverables conform to the four phases of the assignment described above, albeit with different payment profiles for the two consultants as follows:
Both ICs will report to the Head of the RCO and the Senior Economist within the UNRCO on progress and performance, and they will determine that the milestones above are met and release payment. However, we underline also, that the international consultant should work to the requirements of the national consultant, given the latter’s responsibility of overall management and delivery of the assignment.
Knowledge Management and Learning
Development and Operational Effectiveness
Management and Leadership
Required Skills and Experience
DOCUMENTS TO BE INCLUDED WHEN SUBMITTING THE PROPOSALS
Interested individual applicants must submit the following documents/information to demonstrate their qualifications:
General terms & conditions to be downloaded:
Reimbursable Loan Agreement (RLA): A legal instrument between UNDP and a Company/institution, according to which, the latter makes available the services of an individual delivering time-bound and quantifiable outputs that are directly linked to payments
Incomplete proposals may not be considered. Only short-listed candidates may be contacted, and successful candidates will be notified.
Criteria for Selection of the Best Offer
Individual consultants will be evaluated based on the following methodologies:
The award of the contract will be made to the candidate whose offer has been evaluated and determined as responsive, compliant and acceptable, and having received the highest score out of a pre-determined set of weighted technical and financial criteria specific to the solicitation:
a) Technical criteria weight (70%)
b) Financial criteria weight (30%)
Only candidates obtaining a minimum of 50 points will be considered for the Financial Evaluation.