Historique

As a party to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), Bosnia and Herzegovina (B&H) has undertaken important steps towards understanding and addressing climate change issues. It is increasingly recognized not only by the Government and scientific community, but also by its citizens that climate change is an issue of key strategic importance. B&H has put great emphasis on climate change as one of the most significant development challenges facing the country. The importance of adaptation was clearly reflected in its Second National Communications and Climate Change Adaptation and Low Emission Development Strategy (CCA LEDs), adopted in 2013. In 2015, B&H submitted its Intended Nationally Determined Contributions (INDC), as part of the negotiations leading to the historic Paris Agreement, which it signed in April 2016.
Authorities of Bosnia and Herzegovina and key domestic stakeholders realize the increasing threat posed to them and the development of the country by climate change and the need of adapting to it in order to avoid or minimise negative consequences.  The government is motivated to support and implement the national adaptation planning (NAP) process as adaptation issues are becoming very important for the country’s further development.

The overall project’s objective is to support the Government of Bosnia and Herzegovina to advance the national adaptation planning process. Green Climate Fund (GCF) resources will be used to enable the government to integrate climate change related risks, coping strategies and opportunities into ongoing development planning and budgeting processes. The project will advance adaptation planning in B&H with a focus on most vulnerable sectors such as water management, agriculture, forestry etc., upgrading the knowledge base for adaptation, prioritizing adaptation interventions for the medium term, building institutional capacities for integrating climate change adaptation and demonstrating innovative ways of financing adaptation at the sub-national/local government level.

The overall objective of this assignment is to improve generation and use of climate information to enable informed planning and sound decision making for implementation of CC adaptation actions focusing on most vulnerable sectors in BiH.

Devoirs et responsabilités

The consultant should work in close consultation with and under the guidance and supervision of the UNDP project manager. Specifically, his\her responsibilities are but not limited to the following:

Quantitative assessment of  socio-economic and environmental change scenarios for the medium to long-term, for agriculture and water sectors in B&H

  1. Analyze projected changes in temperature and precipitation in Bosnia and Herzegovina in line with A1B, A2 and RCP8.5 scenarios
  2. Develop and disseminate socio-economic scenarios to project the future impacts of climate change in B&H in water management and agriculture sectors.

The purpose of these scenarios is to analyse vulnerability in terms of social and economic impact of some climate related phenomena. Developed socio-economic model will be expressed in different units (number, surface area, monetary units, etc.).


Risk and Vulnerability assessment for the most vulnerable areas

  1. Collect and review all existing hazard, risk and socio-economic datasets for the most vulnerable areas and identify most appropriate datasets for undertaking high-level risk, vulnerability, damage and losses calculations suitable or the feasibility study; a. Collect existing flood hazard maps (PFRA) for all major river basins, and all available receptor and socio-economic datasets in GIS format. 
  2. Using best available hazard maps (likely to be national scale (PFRA) hazard maps) and available receptor and socio-economic datasets, and working with the GIS expert, undertake an outline risk assessment of socio-economic damages and losses from flood hazards for the major river basins based on the model and methodology developed for Vrbas basin, under existing and climate change conditions. Flood maps should be integrated with receptor datasets (i.e. infrastructure, property, people, agriculture, forestry, industry, critical infrastructure) to calculate the indicative damages and losses that would be incurred by each receptor type.  For this purpose, extend the existing socio-economic damage and loss model for Vrbas basin to include all other basins within which the project will be implemented.
  3. Quantity the risk to all major flood receptors under existing and climate change conditions to include: Population at risk; Likely Loss of life LLOL (using appropriate flood risk to life modelling methods or using historical loss of life data), Properties at risk, hectares of agricultural land at risk, socio-economic damages and losses (to property, agriculture, industry (e.g. HPP etc.), critical infrastructure). 
  4. Collect data on actual damages and losses due to flooding in all sectors.  Complement with baseline and climate change modelling of damages and losses in all sectors. 
  5. Identify the datasets that are available for risk and vulnerability assessments during project implementation. Risk and vulnerability modelling and mapping will need specific data sets related to physical infrastructure, people, housing, economic activity, agricultural practices.  Examine what data collection approaches will need to be included to enable socio-economic data collection.  Compare all sources and costs of socio-economic data collection/acquisition.  
  6. Develop the outline specification for a national GIS-based socio-economic vulnerability, loss and damages modelling, assessment and recording framework, methodologies and tools to be developed and database established to record, analyze, predict and assess flood events and associated damages and losses.  ((i.e. outline how the Vrbas socio-economic model will be scaled up to other basins and furthermore, identify what D&L accounting methods and databases are needed). 
  7. Estimate the cost of undertaking socio-economic risk and vulnerability modelling, mapping and assessment for the major river basins.

Cost-benefit assessment of all proposed project interventions - Overall project economic and financial appraisal

  1. Develop appropriate methods for assessing the cost-benefit ratio for individual interventions and for the project as a whole. This will include use of standard engineering CBA appraisal methods. 
  2. Conduct research and a detailed review of all relevant studies and reports to run a CCA Economic Assessment;
  3. Develop economic assessments (CBAs) of climate risk and risk management measures with respect to key sectors which are vulnerable to climate change and likely to contribute to low emissions growth;
  4. Undertake necessary consultations with relevant government agencies, stakeholders and experts to obtain comments/suggestions and incorporate these comments into the draft documents;
  5. Assist with addressing comments during the review process.

Deliverables/ outputs
The consultant is responsible for the following deliverables:
 
Deliverable # of days Due date Payment %

  • Deliverable 1: Report on risk, vulnerability and damage and loss assessment of climate change impacts.  To include quantified flood risk under existing and climate scenarios in each sector and aggregated to municipal, basin and entity levels.  Discussion and elaboration on the incremental costs posed by climate impact and sectors. For each sector (DRR, agriculture, energy and forestry etc); 6; 15th Nov 2018; 10%;
  • Deliverable 2: Feasibility study section on baseline analysis of the socio-economic conditions of the beneficiaries and their livelihoods (farmers, vulnerable groups, etc., with attention to gender; 12; 15th Nov 2018; 20%;
  • Deliverable 3: Detailed CBA analysis for the project interventions, prioritization of project interventions, overall project economic appraisal in line with set requirements.  12; 15th Feb 2019; 20%;
  • Deliverable 4: Specification for a unified CBA methodology on which all risk financing, risk transfer and risk management strategies will be based (linked to damages and losses specification above). Scope of underlying tool for FRM investment planning, climate risk financing mechanisms and for appraisal-led FRM options design and decision-making.  Specification for Risk financing and transfer mechanisms products and tools to be developed. 12; 15th Mar 2019; 20%;
  • Deliverable 5: Detailed project Financial analysis in line with set requirements, 6; 30th March 2019; 10%;
  • Deliverable 6: Developed and disseminated socio-economic scenarios to project the future impacts of climate change in B&H and vulnerability studies 12;30th June 2019; 20%.

Compétences

Core Competencies

  • Demonstrates integrity and fairness by modelling UN values and ethical standards;
  • Displays cultural, gender, religion, race, nationality and age sensitivity and adaptability;
  • Excellent communication skills;
  • Excellent analytical skills;
  • Strong oral and writing skills;
  • Extensive knowledge of computer applications;
  • Focuses on result for the client and responds positively to feedback;
  • Consistently approaches work with energy and a positive, constructive attitude;
  • Remains calm, in control and good humored even under pressure;
  • Ability to work independently as well as part of a fairly big team;
  • Ability to operate under strict time limits. 

Functional Competencies:

  • Good understanding of developments in international flood economics;
  • Proven strong analytical abilities;
  • Ability to work under pressure with several tasks and various deadlines;
  • Actively generates creative, practical approaches and solutions to overcome challenging situations;
  • Excellent writing, presentation/public speaking skills;
  • A pro-active approach to problem-solving;
  • IT literacy.

 

Qualifications et expériences requises

Academic Qualifications/Education

  • MA in economics, finance, business administration, international development, social science and/or related fields;

Experience

  • At least 10 years of working experience in the related field;
  • Substantial relevant experiences on working with UN agencies is an asset;
  • Experiences in working with local communities, conducting small and medium scale social meetings and surveys;
  • Experience in quantitative assessment of climate scenarios 
  • Experience developing creative and strategic partnerships between public and private sector in limited resource settings.

Other requirements

  • Knowledge of the environmental issues in B&H
  • Understanding of key economic sectors in BiH (water management, energy, agriculture, forestry, critical infrastructure, industry) and rural economies in BiH (or Balkans in general)
  • Knowledge of B&H institutional set-up
  • Good understanding of climate change and sustainable development issues


Languages Requirements

  • Knowledge of English


Technical   

  • Knowledge of the environmental issues in B&H and knowledge in quantitative assessment of climate scenarios   50% 50; 
  • Methodology (document which contains brief explanation on approach to conduct the work) 40% 40; 
  • Understanding of key economic sectors in BiH (water management, energy, agriculture, forestry, critical infrastructure, industry) and rural economies in BiH  10% 10. 

Financial criteria: Weight: 30%, Maximum points: 30.

Only candidates obtaining a minimum of 50 point would be considered for the Financial Evaluation.

Applicants are required to submit an application including:

Evaluation

Individual consultants will be evaluated based on the following methodology:

Cumulative analysis

When using this weighted scoring method, the award of the contract should be made to the individual consultant whose offer has been evaluated and determined as:
a) responsive/compliant/acceptable, and
b) Having received the highest score out of a pre-determined set of weighted technical and financial criteria specific to the solicitation.

  • * Technical Criteria weight-70%
  • * Financial Criteria weight- 30%

Please scan all above mentioned documents and upload as one attachment only online through this website.

Note:

  • For an assignment requiring travel, consultants of 65 years or more require full medical examination and statement of fitness to work to engage in the consultancy.
  • Due to large number of potential applicants, only competitively selected candidates will be contacted for remaining steps of the service procurement process.